Last data update: May 06, 2024. (Total: 46732 publications since 2009)
Records 1-30 (of 31 Records) |
Query Trace: Ahn Y[original query] |
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Assessing and managing the risk of Aedes mosquito introductions via the global maritime trade network
Willoughby JR , McKenzie BA , Ahn J , Steury TD , Lepzcyk CA , Zohdy S . PLoS Negl Trop Dis 2024 18 (4) e0012110 The global shipping network (GSN) has been suggested as a pathway for the establishment and reintroduction of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus primarily via the tire trade. We used historical maritime movement data in combination with an agent-based model to understand invasion risk in the United States Gulf Coast and how the risk of these invasions could be reduced. We found a strong correlation between the total number of cargo ship arrivals at each port and likelihood of arrival by both Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus. Additionally, in 2012, 99.2% of the arrivals into target ports had most recently visited ports likely occupied by both Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus, increasing risk of Aedes invasion. Our model results indicated that detection and removal of mosquitoes from containers when they are unloaded effectively reduced the probability of mosquito populations establishment even when the connectivity of ports increased. To reduce the risk of invasion and reintroduction of Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus, surveillance and control efforts should be employed when containers leave high risk locations and when they arrive in ports at high risk of establishment. |
The role of stroke care infrastructure on the effectiveness of a hub-and-spoke telestroke model in South Carolina
Srinivasan M , Scott A , Soo J , Sreedhara M , Popat S , Beasley KL , Jackson TN , Abbas A , Keaton WA , Holmstedt C , Harvey J , Kruis R , McLeod S , Ahn R . J Stroke Cerebrovasc Dis 2024 107702 OBJECTIVE: To examine the relationship between stroke care infrastructure and stroke quality-of-care outcomes at 29 spoke hospitals participating in the <name concealed for blinding purposes> hub-and-spoke telestroke network. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Encounter-level data from <name concealed for blinding purposes> telestroke patient registry were filtered to include encounters during 2015-2022 for patients aged 18 and above with a clinical diagnosis of acute ischemic stroke, and who received intravenous tissue plasminogen activator. Unadjusted and adjusted generalized estimating equations assessed associations between time-related stroke quality-of-care metrics captured during the encounter and the existence of the two components of stroke care infrastructure-stroke coordinators and stroke center certifications-across all hospitals and within hospital subgroups defined by size and rurality. RESULTS: Telestroke encounters at spoke hospitals with stroke coordinators and stroke center certifications were associated with shorter door-to-needle (DTN) times (60.9 min for hospitals with both components and 57.3 min for hospitals with one, vs. 81.2 min for hospitals with neither component, p <.001). Similar patterns were observed for the percentage of encounters with DTN time of ≤60 min (63.8% and 68.9% vs. 32.0%, p <.001) and ≤45 min (34.0% and 38.4% vs. 8.42%, p <.001). Associations were similar for other metrics (e.g., door-to-registration time), and were stronger for smaller (vs. larger) hospitals and rural (vs. urban) hospitals. CONCLUSIONS: Stroke coordinators or stroke center certifications may be important for stroke quality of care, especially at spoke hospitals with limited resources or in rural areas. |
Correction: A mixed-methods approach for evaluating implementation processes and program costs for a hypertension management program implemented in a federally qualified health center
Tucker-Brown A , Spafford M , Wittenborn J , Rein D , Marshall A , Beasley KL , Vaughan M , Nelson N , Dougherty M , Ahn R . Prev Sci 2024 |
Bystander CPR and long-term survival in older adults with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest
Chan PS , Merritt R , McNally B , Chang A , Al-Araji R , Mawani M , Ahn KO , Girotra S . JACC Adv 2023 2 (8) BACKGROUND: Most studies on bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) have focused on in-hospital or short-term survival. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to examine the association between bystander CPR and long-term survival outcomes for OHCA. METHODS: Within the Cardiac Arrest Registry to Enhance Survival, we identified 152,653 patients with OHCA ≥65 years of age or older. Using multivariable hierarchical logistic regression, we first examined the association between bystander CPR and in-hospital survival. Then, among those surviving to discharge and linked to Medicare files, we evaluated the association between bystander CPR and long-term mortality over 5 years using multivariable Cox regression. RESULTS: Overall, 58,464 (38.3%) received bystander CPR. Patients receiving bystander CPR were more likely to have an OHCA that was witnessed, in a public location, and with an initial shockable rhythm. Bystander CPR was associated with a 24% higher likelihood of surviving to hospital discharge (10.2% vs 5.5%; adjusted relative risk: 1.24 [95% CI: 1.19-1.29]; P < 0.001), and this survival benefit was similar (interaction P = 0.24) for those who were 65 to 74, 75 to 84, and ≥85 years of age. Among patients surviving to hospital discharge (median follow-up of 31 months), bystander CPR was additionally associated with lower long-term mortality vs those without bystander CPR (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.78 [95% CI: 0.73-0.84]; P < 0.001), and this benefit was also consistent across age groups (interaction P = 0.13). CONCLUSIONS: In older adults with OHCA, bystander CPR was associated with higher rates of in-hospital survival. This survival benefit was not attenuated by competing mortality risks but increased in magnitude after hospital discharge. |
Structural basis of the American mink ACE2 binding by Y453F trimeric spike glycoproteins of SARS-CoV-2
Ahn H , Calderon BM , Fan X , Gao Y , Horgan NL , Jiang N , Blohm DS , Hossain J , Rayyan NWK , Osman SH , Lin X , Currier M , Steel J , Wentworth DE , Zhou B , Liang B . J Med Virol 2023 95 (10) e29163 Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) enters the host cell by binding to angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2). While evolutionarily conserved, ACE2 receptors differ across various species and differential interactions with Spike (S) glycoproteins of SARS-CoV-2 viruses impact species specificity. Reverse zoonoses led to SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks on multiple American mink (Mustela vison) farms during the pandemic and gave rise to mink-associated S substitutions known for transmissibility between mink and zoonotic transmission to humans. In this study, we used bio-layer interferometry (BLI) to discern the differences in binding affinity between multiple human and mink-derived S glycoproteins of SARS-CoV-2 and their respective ACE2 receptors. Further, we conducted a structural analysis of a mink variant S glycoprotein and American mink ACE2 (mvACE2) using cryo-electron microscopy (cryo-EM), revealing four distinct conformations. We discovered a novel intermediary conformation where the mvACE2 receptor is bound to the receptor-binding domain (RBD) of the S glycoprotein in a "down" position, approximately 34° lower than previously reported "up" RBD. Finally, we compared residue interactions in the S-ACE2 complex interface of S glycoprotein conformations with varying RBD orientations. These findings provide valuable insights into the molecular mechanisms of SARS-CoV-2 entry. |
Lab on a chip for detecting Clara cell protein 16 (CC16) for potential screening of the workers exposed to respirable silica aerosol
Ahn C , Lee T , Shin JH , Lee JS , Thiyagarajan Upaassana V , Ghosh S , Ku BK . Microfluid Nanofluidics 2023 27 (11) 1-10 Early detection of pulmonary responses to silica aerosol exposure, such as lung inflammation as well as early identification of silicosis initiation, is of great importance in disease prevention of workers. In this study, to early screen the health condition of the workers who are exposed to respirable silica dusts, an immunoassay lab on a chip (LOC) was designed, developed and fully characterized for analyzing Clara cell protein 16 (CC16) in serum which has been considered as one of the potential biomarkers of lung inflammation or lung damage due to the respirable silica dusts. Sandwich immunoassay of CC16 was performed on the LOC developed with a custom-designed portable analyzer using artificial serums spiked with CC16 protein first and then human serums obtained from the coal mine workers exposed to the respirable silica-containing dusts. The dynamic range of CC16 assay performed on the LOC was in a range of 0.625–20 ng/mL, and the achieved limit of detection (LOD) was around 0.35 ng/mL. The assay results of CC16 achieved from both the developed LOC and the conventional 96 well plate showed a reasonable corelation. The correlation between the conventional reader and the developed portable analyzer was found to be reasonable, resulting in R 2 ~ 0.93. This study shows that the LOC developed for the early detection of CC16 can be potentially applied for the development of a field-deployable point-of-care testing (POCT) for the early monitoring of the field workers who are exposed to silica aerosol. © 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature. |
Mosquito invasion via the global shipping network is slowed in high-risk areas by on-shore and ship-board monitoring (preprint)
Willoughby JR , McKenzie BA , Ahn J , Steury TD , Lepzcyk CA , Zohdy S . bioRxiv 2022 01 The global shipping network (GSN) has been suggested as a pathway for the establishment and reintroduction of Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus primarily via the tire trade. We used historical maritime movement data in combination with an agent-based model to understand invasion risk in the United States Gulf Coast and how the risk of these invasions could be reduced. We found a strong correlation between the total number of cargo ship arrivals at each port and likelihood of arrival by both Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus. Additionally, in 2012, 99.2% of the arrivals into target ports had most recently visited ports occupied by both Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus, increasing risk of Aedes invasion. Model results indicated that detection and removal of mosquitoes from containers when they are unloaded at a port may be more effective in reducing the establishment of mosquito populations compared to eradication efforts that occur while onboard the vessel, suggesting detection efforts should be focused on unloaded containers. To reduce the risk of invasion and reintroduction of Ae. aegypti and Ae. albopictus, surveillance and control efforts should be employed when containers leave high risk locations and when they arrive in ports at high risk of establishment. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license. |
Using marine cargo traffic to identify countries in Africa with greatest risk of invasion by Anopheles stephensi (preprint)
Ahn J , Sinka M , Irish S , Zohdy S . bioRxiv 2021 10 Anopheles stephensi is an efficient malaria vector commonly found in South Asia and the Arabian Peninsula, but in recent years it has established as an invasive species in the Horn of Africa (HoA). In this region, An. stephensi was first detected in a livestock quarantine station near a major seaport in Djibouti in 2012, in Ethiopia in 2016, in Sudan in 2018 and Somalia in 2019. Anopheles stephensi often uses artificial containers as larval habitats, which may facilitate introduction through maritime trade as has been seen with other invasive container breeding mosquitoes. If An. stephensi is being introduced through maritime traffic, prioritization exercises are needed to identify locations at greatest risk of An. stephensi introduction for early detection and rapid response, limiting further invasion opportunities. Here, we use UNCTAD maritime trade data to 1) identify coastal African countries which were most highly connected to select An. stephensi endemic countries in 2011, prior to initial detection in Africa, 2) develop a ranked prioritization list of countries based on likelihood of An. stephensi introduction for 2016 and 2020 based on maritime trade alone and maritime trade and habitat suitability, and 3) use network analysis to describe intracontinental maritime trade and eigenvector centrality to determine likely paths of further introduction on the continent if An. stephensi is detected in a new location. Our results show that in 2011, Sudan and Djibouti were ranked as the top two countries with likelihood of An. stephensi introduction based on maritime trade alone, and these were indeed the first two coastal countries in the HoA where An. stephensi was detected. Trade data from 2020 with Djibouti and Sudan included as source populations identify Egypt, Kenya, Mauritius, Tanzania, and Morocco as the top five countries with likelihood of An. stephensi introduction. When factoring in habitat suitability, Egypt, Kenya, Tanzania, Morocco, and Libya are ranked highest. Network analysis revealed that the countries with the highest eigenvector centrality scores, and therefore highest degrees of connectivity with other coastal African nations were South Africa (0.175), Mauritius (0.159), Ghana (0.159), Togo (0.157), and Morocco (0.044) and therefore detection of An. stephensi in any one of these locations has a higher potential to cascade further across the continent via maritime trade than those with lower eigenvector centrality scores. Taken together, these data could serve as tools to prioritize efforts for An. stephensi surveillance and control in Africa. Surveillance in seaports of countries at greatest risk of introduction may serve as an early warning system for the detection of An. stephensi, providing opportunities to limit further introduction and expansion of this invasive malaria vector in Africa. Copyright The copyright holder for this preprint is the author/funder, who has granted bioRxiv a license to display the preprint in perpetuity. It is made available under a CC-BY-NC-ND 4.0 International license. |
A mixed-methods approach for evaluating implementation processes and program costs for a hypertension management program implemented in a federally qualified health center
Tucker-Brown A , Spafford M , Wittenborn J , Rein D , Marshall A , Beasley KL , Vaughan M , Nelson N , Dougherty M , Ahn R . Prev Sci 2023 Team-based care approaches are effective at improving hypertension control and have been used in clinical practice to improve hypertension outcomes. This study implemented and evaluated the Hypertension Management Program (HMP), which was originally developed in a high-resource health setting, in a health system with fewer resources and a patient population disproportionately affected by hypertension. Our objectives were to describe how a health system could adapt HMP to meet their needs and calculate total program costs. HMP uses a team-based, patient-centered approach involving clinical pharmacists who contribute to managing patients who have hypertension and ultimately preventing premature death due to uncontrolled hypertension. HMP has 10 components (e.g., EHR patient registries and outreach lists, no copayment walk-in blood pressure checks). Our project involved implementing the key components of HMP in a federally qualified health center (FQHC) in South Carolina. Adaptations from the key components of HMP were made to fit the participants' settings. A mixed-methods evaluation assessed implementation processes, program costs, and implementation facilitators and barriers. From September 2018 to December 2019, clinical pharmacists conducted 758 hypertension management visits (HMVs) with 316 patients with hypertension. Total program costs for HMP were $325,532 overall and $16,277 per month. Monthly cost per patient was $3.62. The high engagement among clinical pharmacists, along with provider engagements, followed up by the subsequent referral of patients to HMP, facilitated the implementation process. Staff members observed improvements in hypertension control, which increased participation buy-in. Barriers included staff turnover, the perception among some providers that HMP took too much time, as well as perception of HMP as a pharmacy-specific initiative. A team-based, patient-centered approach to hypertension management can be adapted for FQHCs or similar settings that serve patient populations disproportionately affected by hypertension. |
Effectiveness evaluation of a hypertension management program in a Federally Qualified Health Center (FQHC)
Lowe Beasley K , Tucker-Brown A , Rein DB , Ahn R , Davis R , Spafford M , Dougherty M , Teachout E , Haynes SB . Prev Med Rep 2023 34 102271 The objective of this study was to examine effectiveness of a Hypertension Management Program (HMP) in a Federally Qualified Health Center (FQHC). From September 2018 through December 2019, we implemented HMP in seven clinics of an FQHC in rural South Carolina. A pre/post evaluation design estimated the association of HMP with hypertension control rates and systolic blood pressure using electronic health record data among 3,941 patients. A chi-square test estimated change in mean control rates in pre- and intervention periods. A multilevel multivariable logistic regression model estimated the incremental impact of HMP on odds of hypertension control. Results showed that 53.4% of patients had controlled hypertension pre-intervention (September 2016-September 2018); 57.3% had controlled hypertension at the end of the observed implementation period (September 2018-December 2019) (p < 0.01). Statistically significant increases in hypertension control rates were observed in six of seven clinics (p < 0.05). Odds of controlled hypertension were 1.21 times higher during the intervention period compared to pre-intervention (p < 0.0001). Findings can inform the replication of HMP in FQHCs and similar health care settings, which play a pivotal role in caring for patients with health and socioeconomic disparities. |
Telehealth use to address cardiovascular disease and hypertension in the United States: A systematic review and meta-analysis, 2011-2021
Jackson TN , Sreedhara M , Bostic M , Spafford M , Popat S , Lowe Beasley K , Jordan J , Ahn R . Telemed Rep 2023 4 (1) 67-86 BACKGROUND: The use of telehealth for the management and treatment of hypertension and cardiovascular disease (CVD) has increased across the United States (U.S.), especially during the COVID-19 pandemic. Telehealth has the potential to reduce barriers to accessing health care and improve clinical outcomes. However, implementation, outcomes, and health equity implications related to these strategies are not well understood. The purpose of this review was to identify how telehealth is being used by U.S. health care professionals and health systems to manage hypertension and CVD and to describe the impact these telehealth strategies have on hypertension and CVD outcomes, with a special focus on social determinants of health and health disparities. METHODS: This study comprised a narrative review of the literature and meta-analyses. The meta-analyses included articles with intervention and control groups to examine the impact of telehealth interventions on changes to select patient outcomes, including systolic and diastolic blood pressure. A total of 38 U.S.-based interventions were included in the narrative review, with 14 yielding data eligible for the meta-analyses. RESULTS: The telehealth interventions reviewed were used to treat patients with hypertension, heart failure, and stroke, with most interventions employing a team-based care approach. These interventions utilized the expertise of physicians, nurses, pharmacists, and other health care professionals to collaborate on patient decisions and provide direct care. Among the 38 interventions reviewed, 26 interventions utilized remote patient monitoring (RPM) devices mostly for blood pressure monitoring. Half the interventions used a combination of strategies (e.g., videoconferencing and RPM). Patients using telehealth saw significant improvements in clinical outcomes such as blood pressure control, which were comparable to patients receiving in-person care. In contrast, the outcomes related to hospitalizations were mixed. There were also significant decreases in all-cause mortality when compared to usual care. No study explicitly focused on addressing social determinants of health or health disparities through telehealth for hypertension or CVD. CONCLUSIONS: Telehealth appears to be comparable to traditional in-person care for managing blood pressure and CVD and may be seen as a complement to existing care options for some patients. Telehealth can also support team-based care delivery and may benefit patients and health care professionals by increasing opportunities for communication, engagement, and monitoring outside a clinical setting. |
Prevalence of HPV infection among Thai schoolgirls in the north-eastern provinces in 2018: implications for HPV immunization policy
Vongpunsawad S , Rhee C , Nilyanimit P , Poudyal N , Jiamsiri S , Ahn HS , Lee J , Seo HW , Klinsupa W , Park S , Premsri N , Namwat C , Silaporn P , Excler JL , Kim DR , Markowitz LE , Unger ER , Rerks-Ngarm S , Lynch J , Poovorawan Y . IJID Reg 2023 7 110-115 OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to determine the prevalence of high-risk (HR) and vaccine-type human papillomavirus (HPV) infection among Thai schoolgirls who were not included in the national HPV immunization program. METHODS: Cross-sectional surveys were conducted among grade 10 (15-16 years old) and grade 12 (17-18 years old) schoolgirls in two provinces of Thailand. Urine samples were collected using the Colli-Pee(Ⓡ) device from November 2018 to February 2019. The samples were initially tested using Cobas(Ⓡ) 4800. Subsequently, all Cobas-positive samples and 1:1 matched Cobas-negative samples were tested by Anyplex(Ⓡ) assay. Prevalences of any HPV, any HR HPV, vaccine-type HPV, and individual HR HPV types were estimated by school grade. RESULTS: Prevalences of any HPV and any HR HPV were 11.6% and 8.6% for grade 10, and 18.5% and 12.4% for grade 12 schoolgirls, respectively. Prevalences of bivalent vaccine-type HPV infection in grades 10 and 12 were 3.4% and 4.5%, respectively. Prevalences of quadrivalent and nonavalent vaccine-type HPV infections were 4.0%/6.6% and 6.4%/10.4% in grades 10 and 12, respectively. HPV16 was the most common type detected, followed by HPV58, 51, and 52. Circulating HR HPV types were similar between the school grades. CONCLUSION: A substantial burden of HR HPV infections was found among unvaccinated high school girls in Thailand. |
Modeling marine cargo traffic to identify countries in Africa with greatest risk of invasion by Anopheles stephensi
Ahn J , Sinka M , Irish S , Zohdy S . Sci Rep 2023 13 (1) 876 Anopheles stephensi, an invasive malaria vector native to South Asia and the Arabian Peninsula, was detected in Djibouti's seaport, followed by Ethiopia, Sudan, Somalia, and Nigeria. If An. stephensi introduction is facilitated through seatrade, similar to other invasive mosquitoes, the identification of at-risk countries are needed to increase surveillance and response efforts. Bilateral maritime trade data is used to (1) identify coastal African countries which were highly connected to select An. stephensi endemic countries, (2) develop a prioritization list of countries based on the likelihood of An. stephensi introduction through maritime trade index (LASIMTI), and (3) use network analysis of intracontinental maritime trade to determine likely introduction pathways. Sudan and Djibouti were ranked as the top two countries with LASIMTI in 2011, which were the first two coastal African countries where An. stephensi was detected. With Djibouti and Sudan included as source populations, 2020 data identify Egypt, Kenya, Mauritius, Tanzania, and Morocco as the top countries with LASIMTI. Network analysis highlight South Africa, Mauritius, Ghana, and Togo. These tools can prioritize efforts for An. stephensi surveillance and control in Africa. Surveillance in seaports of identified countries may limit further expansion of An. stephensi by serving as an early warning system. |
Long-term outcomes for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in elderly patients: An analysis of Cardiac Arrest Registry To Enhance Survival data linked to Medicare files
Chan PS , McNally B , Chang A , Girotra S , Al-Araji R , Mawani M , Ahn KO , Merritt R . Circ Cardiovasc Qual Outcomes 2022 15 (10) 101161circoutcomes122009042 BACKGROUND: Most studies on out-of-hospital cardiac arrest have primarily focused on in-hospital or short-term survival. Little is known about long-term outcomes and resource use among survivors of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest. METHODS: In this observationsl study, we describe overall long-term outcomes for patients from the national Cardiac Arrest Registry to Enhance Survival linked to Medicare files to create the Cardiac Arrest Registry to Enhance Survival: Mortality, Events, and Costs for Cardiac Arrest survivors dataset. Cardiac Arrest Registry to Enhance Survival data between 2013 and 2019 were linked to Medicare data using probabilistic matching algorithms. Overall long-term mortality, readmissions, and index hospitalization costs are reported for the overall cohort. RESULTS: Among 56 425 patients who were 65 years of age or older in Cardiac Arrest Registry to Enhance Survival who survived to hospital admission, 26 875 (47.6%) were successfully linked to Medicare files. Mean (+SD) cost of the index hospitalization was $23 262+$24 199 and the median cost was $14 636 (interquartile range, $9930-$30 033). Overall, 8676 (32.3%) survived to hospital discharge with 38.0% discharged home, 11.8% to hospice care, and the remaining 50.2% to other inpatient, skilled nursing care, or rehabilitation facilities. Mortality after discharge was initially high (27.0% at 3 months) and then increased gradually, with 1- and 3-year mortality of 37.1% and 50.1%, respectively. During the first year, 40.1% were readmitted at least once, with 19.7% readmitted on > 1 occasion. CONCLUSIONS: The Cardiac Arrest Registry to Enhance Survival: Mortality, Events, and Costs for Cardiac Arrest survivors registry includes rich data on postdischarge outcomes and resource utilization. Use of this dataset will enable future investigations on the long-term effectiveness, costs, and cost-effectiveness of various interventions for out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in elderly patients. |
A community intervention effectiveness study of single dose or two doses of bivalent HPV vaccine (CERVARIX) in female school students in Thailand
Jiamsiri S , Rhee C , Ahn HS , Poudyal N , Seo HW , Klinsupa W , Nilyanimit P , Premsri N , Namwat C , Vonpunsawad S , Chon Y , Park S , Kim DR , Unger ER , Markowitz L , Poovorawan Y , Rerks-Ngarm S , Excler JL , Lynch J . PLoS One 2022 17 (4) e0267294 Human papillomavirus (HPV) is a common infection principally spread through sexual activity. Most HPV infections are asymptomatic and resolve spontaneously. However, persistent infection may progress to cervical cancer. Highly efficacious HPV vaccines have been available since 2006, yet uptake into national programs has been slow in part due to cost. WHO guidelines call for a two-dose (0,6 month) schedule for girls 9-14 years of age. Post-hoc analyses of randomized trials have found high vaccine effectiveness following a single dose of vaccine. In order to provide additional data on the potential impact of single dose HPV vaccination in a real-world setting, we are conducting an effectiveness study among Thai schoolgirls. This is an observational study of a single dose (SD) or two doses (2D) of the bivalent HPV vaccine CERVARIX (GlaxoSmithKline plc.) administered in a school-based program to 8-9,000 Grade 8 female students in two provinces of Thailand beginning in 2018; one province is assigned the SD, and the other the standard 2D regimen. The reduction in HPV vaccine-type prevalence will be assessed in each province two and four years after vaccination by comparing HPV prevalence in urine samples obtained through cross-sectional surveys of the immunized grade cohort as they age and compared to a historical "baseline" HPV prevalence of same age students. |
Novel Candidate Genes Differentially Expressed in Glyphosate-Treated Horseweed (Conyza canadensis).
Yang Y , Gardner C , Gupta P , Peng Y , Piasecki C , Millwood RJ , Ahn TH , Stewart CN Jr . Genes (Basel) 2021 12 (10) The evolution of herbicide-resistant weed species is a serious threat for weed control. Therefore, we need an improved understanding of how gene regulation confers herbicide resistance in order to slow the evolution of resistance. The present study analyzed differentially expressed genes after glyphosate treatment on a glyphosate-resistant Tennessee ecotype (TNR) of horseweed (Conyza canadensis), compared to a susceptible biotype (TNS). A read size of 100.2 M was sequenced on the Illumina platform and subjected to de novo assembly, resulting in 77,072 gene-level contigs, of which 32,493 were uniquely annotated by a BlastX alignment of protein sequence similarity. The most differentially expressed genes were enriched in the gene ontology (GO) term of the transmembrane transport protein. In addition, fifteen upregulated genes were identified in TNR after glyphosate treatment but were not detected in TNS. Ten of these upregulated genes were transmembrane transporter or kinase receptor proteins. Therefore, a combination of changes in gene expression among transmembrane receptor and kinase receptor proteins may be important for endowing non-target-site glyphosate-resistant C. canadensis. |
A broad-spectrum and highly potent human monoclonal antibody cocktail for rabies prophylaxis.
Kim PK , Ahn JS , Kim CM , Seo JM , Keum SJ , Lee HJ , Choo MJ , Kim MS , Lee JY , Maeng KE , Shin JY , Yi KS , Osinubi MOV , Franka R , Greenberg L , Shampur M , Rupprecht CE , Lee SY . PLoS One 2021 16 (9) e0256779 Post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) is highly effective in preventing disease progression of rabies when used in timely and appropriate manner. The key treatment for PEP is infiltration of rabies immune globulin (RIG) into lesion site after bite exposure, besides wound care and vaccination. Unfortunately, however, RIG is expensive and its supply is limited. Currently, several anti-rabies virus monoclonal antibody (mAb) products are under development as alternatives to RIG, and two recently received regulatory approval in India. In this study, fully human mAbs that recognize different rabies virus glycoprotein conformational antigenic site (II and III) were created from peripheral blood mononuclear cells of heathy vaccinated subjects. These mAbs neutralized a diverse range of lyssavirus types. As at least two anti-rabies virus mAbs are recommended for use in human PEP to ensure broad coverage against diverse lyssaviruses and to minimize possible escape variants, two most potent mAbs, NP-19-9 and 11B6, were selected to be used as cocktail treatment. These two mAbs were broadly reactive to different types of lyssaviruses isolates, and were shown to have no interference with each other. These results suggest that NP-19-9 and 11B6 are potent candidates to be used for PEP, suggesting further studies involving clinical studies in human. |
Urodynamic characteristics of neurogenic bladder in newborns with myelomeningocele and refinement of the definition of bladder hostility: Findings from the UMPIRE multi-center study
Tanaka ST , Yerkes EB , Routh JC , Tu DD , Austin JC , Wiener JS , Vasquez E , Joseph DB , Ahn JJ , Wallis MC , Williams T , Rose C , Baum MA , Cheng EY . J Pediatr Urol 2021 17 (5) 726-732 INTRODUCTION: Infants with myelomeningocele are at risk for chronic kidney disease caused by neurogenic bladder dysfunction. Urodynamic evaluation plays a key role to risk stratify individuals for renal deterioration. OBJECTIVE: To present baseline urodynamic findings from the Urologic Management to Preserve Initial Renal function for young children with spina bifida (UMPIRE) protocol, to present the process that showed inadequacies of our original classification scheme, and to propose a refined definition of bladder hostility and categorization. STUDY DESIGN: The UMPIRE protocol follows a cohort of newborns with myelomeningocele at nine children's hospitals in the United States. Infants are started on clean intermittent catheterization shortly after birth. If residual volumes are low and there is no or mild hydronephrosis, catheterization is discontinued. Baseline urodynamics are obtained at or before 3 months of age to determine further management. Based on protocol-specific definitions, urodynamic studies were reviewed by the clinical site in addition to a central review team; and if necessary, by all site urologists to achieve 100% concurrence. RESULTS: We reviewed 157 newborn urodynamic studies performed between May 2015 and September 2017. Of these 157 infants, 54.8% were boys (86/157). Myelomeningocele closure was performed in-utero in 18.4% (29/157) and postnatally in 81.5% (128/157) of newborns. After primary review, reviewers agreed on overall bladder categorization in 50% (79/157) of studies. Concurrence ultimately reached 100% with further standardization of interpretation. We found that it was not possible to reliably differentiate a bladder contraction due to detrusor overactivity from a volitional voiding contraction in an infant. We revised our categorization system to group the "normal" and "safe" categories together as "low risk". Additionally, diagnosis of detrusor sphincter dyssynergia (DSD) with surface patch electrodes could not be supported by other elements of the urodynamics study. We excluded DSD from our revised high risk category. The final categorizations were high risk in 15% (23/157); intermediate risk in 61% (96/157); and low risk in 24% (38/157). CONCLUSION: We found pitfalls with our original categorization for bladder hostility. Notably, DSD could not be reliably measured with surface patch of electrodes. The effect of this change on future renal outcomes remains to be defined. |
The Paradox of Interactive Media: The Potential for Video Games and Virtual Reality as Tools for Violence Prevention
Bowman ND , Ahn SJ , Mercer Kollar LM . Front Commun (Lausanne) 2020 5 Interactive media such as video games and virtual reality (VR) provide users with lived experiences that may be dangerous or even impossible in daily life. By providing interactive experiences in highly authentic, detail-rich contexts, these technologies have demonstrated measurable success in impacting how people think, feel, and behave in the physical world. At the same time, violent interactive media content has been historically connected with a range of antisocial effects in both popular press and academic research. Extant literature has established a small-but-statistically significant effect of interactive media violence on aggressive thoughts and behaviors, which could serve as a risk factor for interpersonal violence. However, left unexplored is the seemingly paradoxical claim that under some conditions, interactive media experiences might protect against interpersonal violence. Drawing on advances in media theory and research and the evolution of interactive media content and production practices, the current manuscript suggests ways in which interactive media violence may be leveraged to lower the likelihood of real-world violence experiences. For example, research on both violent and non-violent games has found that players can (a) express guilt after committing violent acts, (b) report reflective and introspective emotional reactions during gameplay, and (c) debate the morality of their actions with others. Regarding VR, studies have demonstrated that (a) witnessing physical violence in immersive spaces led participants to take the perspective of victims and better understand their emotional state and (b) controlled exposure to traumatic or violent events can be used for treatment. Broadly, studies into video games and VR demonstrate that the impact of actions in virtual worlds transfer into the physical worlds to influence (later) attitudes and behaviors. Thus, how these experiences may be potentially harnessed for social change is a compelling and open consideration, as are side-effects of such interventions on vulnerable groups. The current manuscript summarizes emerging research perspectives (as well as their limitations) to offer insight into the potential for interactive media violence to protect against real-world violence victimization and perpetration. |
Geospatial mapping and resource utilization tool in support of a national smoke-free public housing rule
Tetlow S , Gurbaxani B , Graffunder C , Owen C , Tran D , Zhao J , Rodriguez JA , Ahn A , Choe K , Mummigatti V , Vedula D , Hayes K , Kelly M , McNabb S , Swann J . BMC Res Notes 2019 12 (1) 767 OBJECTIVE: To advance public health support for the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development's smoke-free rule, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention collaborated with the Georgia Institute of Technology to develop a geospatial mapping tool. The objective was to create a tool state and local public health agencies could use to tailor smoke-free educational materials and cessation interventions for specific public housing development resident populations. RESULTS: The resulting "Extinguish Tool" includes an interactive map of U.S. public housing developments (PHDs) and healthcare facilities that provides detailed information on individual PHDs, their proximity to existing healthcare facilities, and the demographic characteristics of residents. The tool also estimates the number of PHD residents who smoke cigarettes and calculates crude estimates of the potential economic benefits of providing cessation interventions to these residents. The geospatial mapping tool project serves as an example of a collaborative and innovative public health approach to protecting the health and well-being of the nation's two million public housing residents, including 760,000 children, from the harms of tobacco smoking and secondhand smoke exposure in the places where they live, play, and gather. |
Highly sensitive lab on a chip (LOC) immunoassay for early diagnosis of respiratory disease caused by respirable crystalline silica (RCS)
Upaassana VT , Ghosh S , Chakraborty A , Birch ME , Joseph P , Han J , Ku BK , Ahn CH . Anal Chem 2019 91 (10) 6652-6660 Respirable crystalline silica (RCS) produced in mining and construction industries can cause life-threatening diseases such as silicosis, lung cancer, and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). These diseases could be more effectively treated and prevented if RCS-related biomarkers were identified and measured at an early stage of disease progression, which makes development of a point of care test (POCT) platform extremely desirable for early diagnosis. In this work, a new, highly sensitive lab on a chip (LOC) immunoassay has been designed, developed, and characterized for tumor necrosis factor alpha (TNF-alpha), a protein biomarker that causes lung inflammation due to RCS exposure. The designed LOC device is composed of four reservoirs for sample, enzyme conjugated detection antibody, wash buffer, and chemiluminescence substrate in liquid form, along with three spiral reaction chambers for test, positive control, and negative control. All reservoirs and spiral microchannels were connected in series and designed to perform sequential delivery of immunoassay reagents with minimal user intervention. The developed LOC measured TNF-alpha concentrations as low as 16 pg/mL in plasma from RCS-exposed rats and also had a limit of detection (LOD) of 0.5 pg/mL in spiked artificial serum. In addition, the analysis time was drastically reduced to about 30 min, as opposed to hours in conventional methods. Successful implementation of a highly sensitive, chemiluminescence-based immunoassay on a preloaded LOC with proper quality control, as reported in this work, can pave the way toward developing a new rapid POCT platform for in-field clinical diagnosis. |
A taxonomic signature of obesity in a large study of American adults
Peters BA , Shapiro JA , Church TR , Miller G , Trinh-Shevrin C , Yuen E , Friedlander C , Hayes RB , Ahn J . Sci Rep 2018 8 (1) 9749 Animal models suggest that gut microbiota contribute to obesity; however, a consistent taxonomic signature of obesity has yet to be identified in humans. We examined whether a taxonomic signature of obesity is present across two independent study populations. We assessed gut microbiome from stool for 599 adults, by 16S rRNA gene sequencing. We compared gut microbiome diversity, overall composition, and individual taxon abundance for obese (BMI >/= 30 kg/m(2)), overweight (25 </= BMI < 30), and healthy-weight participants (18.5 </= BMI < 25). We found that gut species richness was reduced (p = 0.04), and overall composition altered (p = 0.04), in obese (but not overweight) compared to healthy-weight participants. Obesity was characterized by increased abundance of class Bacilli and its families Streptococcaceae and Lactobacillaceae, and decreased abundance of several groups within class Clostridia, including Christensenellaceae, Clostridiaceae, and Dehalobacteriaceae (q < 0.05). These findings were consistent across two independent study populations. When random forest models were trained on one population and tested on the other as well as a previously published dataset, accuracy of obesity prediction was good (~70%). Our large study identified a strong and consistent taxonomic signature of obesity. Though our study is cross-sectional and causality cannot be determined, identification of microbes associated with obesity can potentially provide targets for obesity prevention and treatment. |
The gut microbiota in conventional and serrated precursors of colorectal cancer.
Peters BA , Dominianni C , Shapiro JA , Church TR , Wu J , Miller G , Yuen E , Freiman H , Lustbader I , Salik J , Friedlander C , Hayes RB , Ahn J . Microbiome 2016 4 (1) 69 BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer is a heterogeneous disease arising from at least two precursors-the conventional adenoma (CA) and the serrated polyp. We and others have previously shown a relationship between the human gut microbiota and colorectal cancer; however, its relationship to the different early precursors of colorectal cancer is understudied. We tested, for the first time, the relationship of the gut microbiota to specific colorectal polyp types. RESULTS: Gut microbiota were assessed in 540 colonoscopy-screened adults by 16S rRNA gene sequencing of stool samples. Participants were categorized as CA cases (n = 144), serrated polyp cases (n = 73), or polyp-free controls (n = 323). CA cases were further classified as proximal (n = 87) or distal (n = 55) and as non-advanced (n = 121) or advanced (n = 22). Serrated polyp cases were further classified as hyperplastic polyp (HP; n = 40) or sessile serrated adenoma (SSA; n = 33). We compared gut microbiota diversity, overall composition, and normalized taxon abundance among these groups. CA cases had lower species richness in stool than controls (p = 0.03); in particular, this association was strongest for advanced CA cases (p = 0.004). In relation to overall microbiota composition, only distal or advanced CA cases differed significantly from controls (p = 0.02 and p = 0.002). In taxon-based analysis, stool of CA cases was depleted in a network of Clostridia operational taxonomic units from families Ruminococcaceae, Clostridiaceae, and Lachnospiraceae, and enriched in the classes Bacilli and Gammaproteobacteria, order Enterobacteriales, and genera Actinomyces and Streptococcus (all q < 0.10). SSA and HP cases did not differ in diversity or composition from controls, though sample size for these groups was small. Few taxa were differentially abundant between HP cases or SSA cases and controls; among them, class Erysipelotrichi was depleted in SSA cases. CONCLUSIONS: Our results indicate that gut microbes may play a role in the early stages of colorectal carcinogenesis through the development of CAs. Findings may have implications for developing colorectal cancer prevention therapies targeting early microbial drivers of colorectal carcinogenesis. |
Evaluation of the Specificity of Two Enzyme Immunoassays for Coccidioidomycosis by Using Sera from a Region of Endemicity and a Region of Nonendemicity
Lindsley MD , Ahn Y , McCotter O , Gade L , Hurst SF , Brandt ME , Park BJ , Litvintseva AP . Clin Vaccine Immunol 2015 22 (10) 1090-5 Coccidioidomycosis (CM), a serious and life threatening fungal infection endemic to arid regions of western United States and Mexico, can be challenging to diagnose in a timely manner. Commercially developed enzyme immunoassays (EIA; Meridian Biosciences and Immuno-Mycologics (IMMY)) have provided a faster, simpler means for serodiagnosis; however, independent evaluations have questioned EIA specificity, particularly IgM-positive/IgG-negative results. This study was conducted to evaluate EIA specificity in persons not likely to have been exposed to Coccidioides sp. residing in non-endemic Puerto Rico (PR; n=534) compared to sera from blood bank donors residing in endemic Arizona (AZ; n=1218). Upon comparing serum reactivity between PR and AZ, the Meridian EIA showed a significant difference in IgG-reactivity (0.37% vs. 3.6%, p<0.001), but not in IgM-reactivity (3.4% vs. 2.4%). No IgM/IgG-reactive sera were detected in PR sera compared to 7 (0.57%) from AZ. Similar results were observed using the IMMY EIA, although significantly (p=0.03) fewer IgM-reactive sera were observed from AZ, compared to Meridian EIA. EIA-reactive sera were also evaluated by immunodiffusion before and after 3-4-fold concentration of the sera. These results demonstrate that elevated IgG EIA-reactivity is present in sera from healthy individuals in endemic regions and that IgM EIA-reactivity observed in sera from individuals residing outside the endemic region is most likely false. Other criteria, including clinical and microbiological evaluation, should be taken into account when interpreting results from surveillance studies and other reporting measures. |
Secondhand smoke exposure and illness severity among children hospitalized with pneumonia
Ahn A , Edwards KM , Grijalva CG , Self WH , Zhu Y , Chappell JD , Arnold SR , McCullers JA , Ampofo K , Pavia AT , Bramley AM , Jain S , Williams DJ . J Pediatr 2015 167 (4) 869-874 e1 OBJECTIVE: To assess the relationship between secondhand smoke (SHS) exposure and disease severity among children hospitalized with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP). STUDY DESIGN: Children hospitalized with clinical and radiographic CAP were enrolled between January 1, 2010, and June 30, 2012 at 3 hospitals in Tennessee and Utah as part of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Etiology of Pneumonia in the Community study. Household SHS exposure was defined based on the number of smokers in the child's home. Outcomes included hospital length of stay, intensive care unit admission, and mechanical ventilation. Proportional hazards and logistic regression models were used to assess associations between SHS exposure and outcomes. All models were adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, household education level, government insurance, comorbidities, enrollment site, year, and season. RESULTS: Of the 2219 children included in the study, SHS exposure was reported in 785 (35.4%), including 325 (14.8%) with ≥2 smokers in the home. Compared with nonexposed children, the children exposed to ≥2 smokers had longer length of stay (median, 70.4 hours vs 64.4 hours; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.75-0.97) and were more likely to receive intensive care (25.2% vs 20.9%; aOR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.05-1.96), but not mechanical ventilation. Outcomes in children exposed to only 1 household smoker were similar to those in nonexposed children. CONCLUSION: Children hospitalized with CAP from households with ≥2 smokers had a longer length of stay and were more likely to require intensive care compared with children from households with no smokers, suggesting that they experienced greater pneumonia severity. |
Global surveillance of cancer survival 1995-2009: analysis of individual data for 25 676 887 patients from 279 population-based registries in 67 countries (CONCORD-2)
Allemani C , Weir HK , Carreira H , Harewood R , Spika D , Wang XS , Bannon F , Ahn JV , Johnson CJ , Bonaventure A , Marcos-Gragera R , Stiller C , Azevedo e Silva G , Chen WQ , Ogunbiyi OJ , Rachet B , Soeberg MJ , You H , Matsuda T , Bielska-Lasota M , Storm H , Tucker TC , Coleman MP . Lancet 2014 385 (9972) 977-1010 BACKGROUND: Worldwide data for cancer survival are scarce. We aimed to initiate worldwide surveillance of cancer survival by central analysis of population-based registry data, as a metric of the effectiveness of health systems, and to inform global policy on cancer control. METHODS: Individual tumour records were submitted by 279 population-based cancer registries in 67 countries for 25.7 million adults (age 15-99 years) and 75 000 children (age 0-14 years) diagnosed with cancer during 1995-2009 and followed up to Dec 31, 2009, or later. We looked at cancers of the stomach, colon, rectum, liver, lung, breast (women), cervix, ovary, and prostate in adults, and adult and childhood leukaemia. Standardised quality control procedures were applied; errors were corrected by the registry concerned. We estimated 5-year net survival, adjusted for background mortality in every country or region by age (single year), sex, and calendar year, and by race or ethnic origin in some countries. Estimates were age-standardised with the International Cancer Survival Standard weights. FINDINGS: 5-year survival from colon, rectal, and breast cancers has increased steadily in most developed countries. For patients diagnosed during 2005-09, survival for colon and rectal cancer reached 60% or more in 22 countries around the world; for breast cancer, 5-year survival rose to 85% or higher in 17 countries worldwide. Liver and lung cancer remain lethal in all nations: for both cancers, 5-year survival is below 20% everywhere in Europe, in the range 15-19% in North America, and as low as 7-9% in Mongolia and Thailand. Striking rises in 5-year survival from prostate cancer have occurred in many countries: survival rose by 10-20% between 1995-99 and 2005-09 in 22 countries in South America, Asia, and Europe, but survival still varies widely around the world, from less than 60% in Bulgaria and Thailand to 95% or more in Brazil, Puerto Rico, and the USA. For cervical cancer, national estimates of 5-year survival range from less than 50% to more than 70%; regional variations are much wider, and improvements between 1995-99 and 2005-09 have generally been slight. For women diagnosed with ovarian cancer in 2005-09, 5-year survival was 40% or higher only in Ecuador, the USA, and 17 countries in Asia and Europe. 5-year survival for stomach cancer in 2005-09 was high (54-58%) in Japan and South Korea, compared with less than 40% in other countries. By contrast, 5-year survival from adult leukaemia in Japan and South Korea (18-23%) is lower than in most other countries. 5-year survival from childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia is less than 60% in several countries, but as high as 90% in Canada and four European countries, which suggests major deficiencies in the management of a largely curable disease. INTERPRETATION: International comparison of survival trends reveals very wide differences that are likely to be attributable to differences in access to early diagnosis and optimum treatment. Continuous worldwide surveillance of cancer survival should become an indispensable source of information for cancer patients and researchers and a stimulus for politicians to improve health policy and health-care systems. FUNDING: Canadian Partnership Against Cancer (Toronto, Canada), Cancer Focus Northern Ireland (Belfast, UK), Cancer Institute New South Wales (Sydney, Australia), Cancer Research UK (London, UK), Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (Atlanta, GA, USA), Swiss Re (London, UK), Swiss Cancer Research foundation (Bern, Switzerland), Swiss Cancer League (Bern, Switzerland), and University of Kentucky (Lexington, KY, USA). |
Development and validation of benomyl birdseed agar for the isolation of Cryptococcus neoformans and Cryptococcus gattii from environmental samples
Pham CD , Ahn S , Turner LA , Wohrle R , Lockhart SR . Med Mycol 2014 52 (4) 417-21 One of the difficulties of isolating Cryptococcus neoformans and Cryptococcus gattii from environmental samples is the abundant overgrowth of other yeast and mold species that occurs on the plates. Here we report the application of benomyl to Guizotia abyssinica seed extract growth medium to improve the isolation of C. neoformans and C. gattii from environmental samples. We validated this medium by recovering C. neoformans and C. gattii from convenience soils and swabs from a region of the United States where these yeasts are endemic. |
An approach for modeling cross-immunity of two strains, with application to variants of Bartonella in terms of genetic similarity
Ahn KW , Kosoy M , Chan KS . Epidemics 2014 7 7-12 We developed a two-strain susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model that provides a framework for inferring the cross-immunity between two strains of a bacterial species in the host population with discretely sampled co-infection time-series data. Moreover, the model accounts for seasonality in host reproduction. We illustrate an approach using a dataset describing co-infections by several strains of bacteria circulating within a population of cotton rats (Sigmodon hispidus). Bartonella strains were clustered into three genetically close groups, between which the divergence is correspondent to the accepted level of separate bacterial species. The proposed approach revealed no cross-immunity between genetic clusters while limited cross-immunity might exist between subgroups within the clusters. |
Years lived with disability (YLDs) for 1160 sequelae of 289 diseases and injuries 1990-2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010
Vos Theo , Flaxman Abraham D , Naghavi Mohsen , Lozano Rafael , Michaud Catherine , Ezzati Majid , Shibuya Kenji , Salomon Joshua A , Abdalla Safa , Aboyans Victor , Abraham Jerry , Ackerman Ilana , Aggarwal Rakesh , Ahn Stephanie Y , Ali Mohammed K , Alvarado Miriam , Anderson H Ross , Anderson Laurie M , Andrews Kathryn G , Atkinson Charles , Baddour Larry M , Bahalim Adil N , Barker-Collo Suzanne , Barrero Lope H , Bartels David H , Basanez Maria-Gloria , Baxter Amanda , Bell Michelle L , Benjamin Emelia J , Bennett Derrick , Bernabe Eduardo , Bhalla Kavi , Bhandari Bishal , Bikbov Boris , Bin Abdulhak Aref , Birbeck Gretchen , Black James A , Blencowe Hannah , Blore Jed D , Blyth Fiona , Bolliger Ian , Bonaventure Audrey , Boufous Soufiane , Bourne Rupert , Boussinesq Michel , Braithwaite Tasanee , Brayne Carol , Bridgett Lisa , Brooker Simon , Brooks Peter , Brugha Traolach S , Bryan-Hancock Claire , Bucello Chiara , Buchbinder Rachelle , Buckle Geoffrey , Budke Christine M , Burch Michael , Burney Peter , Burstein Roy , Calabria Bianca , Campbell Benjamin , Canter Charles E , Carabin Helene , Carapetis Jonathan , Carmona Loreto , Cella Claudia , Charlson Fiona , Chen Honglei , Cheng Andrew Tai-Ann , Chou David , Chugh Sumeet S , Coffeng Luc E , Colan Steven D , Colquhoun Samantha , Colson K Ellicott , Condon John , Connor Myles D , Cooper Leslie T , Corriere Matthew , Cortinovis Monica , de Vaccaro Karen Courville , Couser William , Cowie Benjamin C , Criqui Michael H , Cross Marita , Dabhadkar Kaustubh C , Dahiya Manu , Dahodwala Nabila , Damsere-Derry James , Danaei Goodarz , Davis Adrian , De Leo Diego , Degenhardt Louisa , Dellavalle Robert , Delossantos Allyne , Denenberg Julie , Derrett Sarah , Des Jarlais Don C , Dharmaratne Samath D , Dherani Mukesh , Diaz-Torne Cesar , Dolk Helen , Dorsey E Ray , Driscoll Tim , Duber Herbert , Ebel Beth , Edmond Karen , Elbaz Alexis , Ali Suad Eltahir , Erskine Holly , Erwin Patricia J , Espindola Patricia , Ewoigbokhan Stalin E , Farzadfar Farshad , Feigin Valery , Felson David T , Ferrari Alize , Ferri Cleusa P , Fevre Eric M , Finucane Mariel M , Flaxman Seth , Flood Louise , Foreman Kyle , Forouzanfar Mohammad H , Fowkes Francis Gerry R , Franklin Richard , Fransen Marlene , Freeman Michael K , Gabbe Belinda J , Gabriel Sherine E , Gakidou Emmanuela , Ganatra Hammad A , Garcia Bianca , Gaspari Flavio , Gillum Richard F , Gmel Gerhard , Gosselin Richard , Grainger Rebecca , Groeger Justina , Guillemin Francis , Gunnell David , Gupta Ramyani , Haagsma Juanita , Hagan Holly , Halasa Yara A , Hall Wayne , Haring Diana , Haro Josep Maria , Harrison James E , Havmoeller Rasmus , Hay Roderick J , Higashi Hideki , Hill Catherine , Hoen Bruno , Hoffman Howard , Hotez Peter J , Hoy Damian , Huang John J , Ibeanusi Sydney E , Jacobsen Kathryn H , James Spencer L , Jarvis Deborah , Jasrasaria Rashmi , Jayaraman Sudha , Johns Nicole , Jonas Jost B , Karthikeyan Ganesan , Kassebaum Nicholas , Kawakami Norito , Keren Andre , Khoo Jon-Paul , King Charles H , Knowlton Lisa Marie , Kobusingye Olive , Koranteng Adofo , Krishnamurthi Rita , Lalloo Ratilal , Laslett Laura L , Lathlean Tim , Leasher Janet L , Lee Yong Yi , Leigh James , Lim Stephen S , Limb Elizabeth , Lin John Kent , Lipnick Michael , Lipshultz Steven E , Liu Wei , Loane Maria , Ohno Summer Lockett , Lyons Ronan , Ma Jixiang , Mabweijano Jacqueline , MacIntyre Michael F , Malekzadeh Reza , Mallinger Leslie , Manivannan Sivabalan , Marcenes Wagner , March Lyn , Margolis David J , Marks Guy B , Marks Robin , Matsumori Akira , Matzopoulos Richard , Mayosi Bongani M , McAnulty John H , McDermott Mary M , McGill Neil , McGrath John , Medina-Mora Maria Elena , Meltzer Michele , Mensah George A , Merriman Tony R , Meyer Ana-Claire , Miglioli Valeria , Miller Matthew , Miller Ted R , Mitchell Philip B , Mocumbi Ana Olga , Moffitt Terrie E , Mokdad Ali A , Monasta Lorenzo , Montico Marcella , Moradi-Lakeh Maziar , Moran Andrew , Morawska Lidia , Mori Rintaro , Murdoch Michele E , Mwaniki Michael K , Naidoo Kovin , Nair M Nathan , Naldi Luigi , Narayan K M Venkat , Nelson Paul K , Nelson Robert G , Nevitt Michael C , Newton Charles R , Nolte Sandra , Norman Paul , Norman Rosana , O'Donnell Martin , O'Hanlon Simon , Olives Casey , Omer Saad B , Ortblad Katrina , Osborne Richard , Ozgediz Doruk , Page Andrew , Pahari Bishnu , Pandian Jeyaraj Durai , Rivero Andrea Panozo , Patten Scott B , Pearce Neil , Padilla Rogelio Perez , Perez-Ruiz Fernando , Perico Norberto , Pesudovs Konrad , Phillips David , Phillips Michael R , Pierce Kelsey , Pion Sebastien , Polanczyk Guilherme V , Polinder Suzanne , Pope C Arden 3rd , Popova Svetlana , Porrini Esteban , Pourmalek Farshad , Prince Martin , Pullan Rachel L , Ramaiah Kapa D , Ranganathan Dharani , Razavi Homie , Regan Mathilda , Rehm Jurgen T , Rein David B , Remuzzi Guiseppe , Richardson Kathryn , Rivara Frederick P , Roberts Thomas , Robinson Carolyn , De Leon Felipe Rodriguez , Ronfani Luca , Room Robin , Rosenfeld Lisa C , Rushton Lesley , Sacco Ralph L , Saha Sukanta , Sampson Uchechukwu , Sanchez-Riera Lidia , Sanman Ella , Schwebel David C , Scott James Graham , Segui-Gomez Maria , Shahraz Saeid , Shepard Donald S , Shin Hwashin , Shivakoti Rupak , Singh David , Singh Gitanjali M , Singh Jasvinder A , Singleton Jessica , Sleet David A , Sliwa Karen , Smith Emma , Smith Jennifer L , Stapelberg Nicolas J C , Steer Andrew , Steiner Timothy , Stolk Wilma A , Stovner Lars Jacob , Sudfeld Christopher , Syed Sana , Tamburlini Giorgio , Tavakkoli Mohammad , Taylor Hugh R , Taylor Jennifer A , Taylor William J , Thomas Bernadette , Thomson W Murray , Thurston George D , Tleyjeh Imad M , Tonelli Marcello , Towbin Jeffrey A , Truelsen Thomas , Tsilimbaris Miltiadis K , Ubeda Clotilde , Undurraga Eduardo A , van der Werf Marieke J , van Os Jim , Vavilala Monica S , Venketasubramanian N , Wang Mengru , Wang Wenzhi , Watt Kerrianne , Weatherall David J , Weinstock Martin A , Weintraub Robert , Weisskopf Marc G , Weissman Myrna M , White Richard A , Whiteford Harvey , Wiersma Steven T , Wilkinson James D , Williams Hywel C , Williams Sean R M , Witt Emma , Wolfe Frederick , Woolf Anthony D , Wulf Sarah , Yeh Pon-Hsiu , Zaidi Anita K M , Zheng Zhi-Jie , Zonies David , Lopez Alan D , Murray Christopher J L , Global Burden of Disease Study 2010 . Lancet 2013 380 (9859) 2163-96 BACKGROUND: Non-fatal health outcomes from diseases and injuries are a crucial consideration in the promotion and monitoring of individual and population health. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) studies done in 1990 and 2000 have been the only studies to quantify non-fatal health outcomes across an exhaustive set of disorders at the global and regional level. Neither effort quantified uncertainty in prevalence or years lived with disability (YLDs). METHODS: Of the 291 diseases and injuries in the GBD cause list, 289 cause disability. For 1160 sequelae of the 289 diseases and injuries, we undertook a systematic analysis of prevalence, incidence, remission, duration, and excess mortality. Sources included published studies, case notification, population-based cancer registries, other disease registries, antenatal clinic serosurveillance, hospital discharge data, ambulatory care data, household surveys, other surveys, and cohort studies. For most sequelae, we used a Bayesian meta-regression method, DisMod-MR, designed to address key limitations in descriptive epidemiological data, including missing data, inconsistency, and large methodological variation between data sources. For some disorders, we used natural history models, geospatial models, back-calculation models (models calculating incidence from population mortality rates and case fatality), or registration completeness models (models adjusting for incomplete registration with health-system access and other covariates). Disability weights for 220 unique health states were used to capture the severity of health loss. YLDs by cause at age, sex, country, and year levels were adjusted for comorbidity with simulation methods. We included uncertainty estimates at all stages of the analysis. FINDINGS: Global prevalence for all ages combined in 2010 across the 1160 sequelae ranged from fewer than one case per 1 million people to 350,000 cases per 1 million people. Prevalence and severity of health loss were weakly correlated (correlation coefficient -0.37). In 2010, there were 777 million YLDs from all causes, up from 583 million in 1990. The main contributors to global YLDs were mental and behavioural disorders, musculoskeletal disorders, and diabetes or endocrine diseases. The leading specific causes of YLDs were much the same in 2010 as they were in 1990: low back pain, major depressive disorder, iron-deficiency anaemia, neck pain, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, anxiety disorders, migraine, diabetes, and falls. Age-specific prevalence of YLDs increased with age in all regions and has decreased slightly from 1990 to 2010. Regional patterns of the leading causes of YLDs were more similar compared with years of life lost due to premature mortality. Neglected tropical diseases, HIV/AIDS, tuberculosis, malaria, and anaemia were important causes of YLDs in sub-Saharan Africa. INTERPRETATION: Rates of YLDs per 100,000 people have remained largely constant over time but rise steadily with age. Population growth and ageing have increased YLD numbers and crude rates over the past two decades. Prevalences of the most common causes of YLDs, such as mental and behavioural disorders and musculoskeletal disorders, have not decreased. Health systems will need to address the needs of the rising numbers of individuals with a range of disorders that largely cause disability but not mortality. Quantification of the burden of non-fatal health outcomes will be crucial to understand how well health systems are responding to these challenges. Effective and affordable strategies to deal with this rising burden are an urgent priority for health systems in most parts of the world. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. |
Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 291 diseases and injuries in 21 regions, 1990-2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010
Murray Christopher J L , Vos Theo , Lozano Rafael , Naghavi Mohsen , Flaxman Abraham D , Michaud Catherine , Ezzati Majid , Shibuya Kenji , Salomon Joshua A , Abdalla Safa , Aboyans Victor , Abraham Jerry , Ackerman Ilana , Aggarwal Rakesh , Ahn Stephanie Y , Ali Mohammed K , Alvarado Miriam , Anderson H Ross , Anderson Laurie M , Andrews Kathryn G , Atkinson Charles , Baddour Larry M , Bahalim Adil N , Barker-Collo Suzanne , Barrero Lope H , Bartels David H , Basanez Maria-Gloria , Baxter Amanda , Bell Michelle L , Benjamin Emelia J , Bennett Derrick , Bernabe Eduardo , Bhalla Kavi , Bhandari Bishal , Bikbov Boris , Bin Abdulhak Aref , Birbeck Gretchen , Black James A , Blencowe Hannah , Blore Jed D , Blyth Fiona , Bolliger Ian , Bonaventure Audrey , Boufous Soufiane , Bourne Rupert , Boussinesq Michel , Braithwaite Tasanee , Brayne Carol , Bridgett Lisa , Brooker Simon , Brooks Peter , Brugha Traolach S , Bryan-Hancock Claire , Bucello Chiara , Buchbinder Rachelle , Buckle Geoffrey , Budke Christine M , Burch Michael , Burney Peter , Burstein Roy , Calabria Bianca , Campbell Benjamin , Canter Charles E , Carabin Helene , Carapetis Jonathan , Carmona Loreto , Cella Claudia , Charlson Fiona , Chen Honglei , Cheng Andrew Tai-Ann , Chou David , Chugh Sumeet S , Coffeng Luc E , Colan Steven D , Colquhoun Samantha , Colson K Ellicott , Condon John , Connor Myles D , Cooper Leslie T , Corriere Matthew , Cortinovis Monica , de Vaccaro Karen Courville , Couser William , Cowie Benjamin C , Criqui Michael H , Cross Marita , Dabhadkar Kaustubh C , Dahiya Manu , Dahodwala Nabila , Damsere-Derry James , Danaei Goodarz , Davis Adrian , De Leo Diego , Degenhardt Louisa , Dellavalle Robert , Delossantos Allyne , Denenberg Julie , Derrett Sarah , Des Jarlais Don C , Dharmaratne Samath D , Dherani Mukesh , Diaz-Torne Cesar , Dolk Helen , Dorsey E Ray , Driscoll Tim , Duber Herbert , Ebel Beth , Edmond Karen , Elbaz Alexis , Ali Suad Eltahir , Erskine Holly , Erwin Patricia J , Espindola Patricia , Ewoigbokhan Stalin E , Farzadfar Farshad , Feigin Valery , Felson David T , Ferrari Alize , Ferri Cleusa P , Fevre Eric M , Finucane Mariel M , Flaxman Seth , Flood Louise , Foreman Kyle , Forouzanfar Mohammad H , Fowkes Francis Gerry R , Fransen Marlene , Freeman Michael K , Gabbe Belinda J , Gabriel Sherine E , Gakidou Emmanuela , Ganatra Hammad A , Garcia Bianca , Gaspari Flavio , Gillum Richard F , Gmel Gerhard , Gonzalez-Medina Diego , Gosselin Richard , Grainger Rebecca , Grant Bridget , Groeger Justina , Guillemin Francis , Gunnell David , Gupta Ramyani , Haagsma Juanita , Hagan Holly , Halasa Yara A , Hall Wayne , Haring Diana , Haro Josep Maria , Harrison James E , Havmoeller Rasmus , Hay Roderick J , Higashi Hideki , Hill Catherine , Hoen Bruno , Hoffman Howard , Hotez Peter J , Hoy Damian , Huang John J , Ibeanusi Sydney E , Jacobsen Kathryn H , James Spencer L , Jarvis Deborah , Jasrasaria Rashmi , Jayaraman Sudha , Johns Nicole , Jonas Jost B , Karthikeyan Ganesan , Kassebaum Nicholas , Kawakami Norito , Keren Andre , Khoo Jon-Paul , King Charles H , Knowlton Lisa Marie , Kobusingye Olive , Koranteng Adofo , Krishnamurthi Rita , Laden Francine , Lalloo Ratilal , Laslett Laura L , Lathlean Tim , Leasher Janet L , Lee Yong Yi , Leigh James , Levinson Daphna , Lim Stephen S , Limb Elizabeth , Lin John Kent , Lipnick Michael , Lipshultz Steven E , Liu Wei , Loane Maria , Ohno Summer Lockett , Lyons Ronan , Mabweijano Jacqueline , MacIntyre Michael F , Malekzadeh Reza , Mallinger Leslie , Manivannan Sivabalan , Marcenes Wagner , March Lyn , Margolis David J , Marks Guy B , Marks Robin , Matsumori Akira , Matzopoulos Richard , Mayosi Bongani M , McAnulty John H , McDermott Mary M , McGill Neil , McGrath John , Medina-Mora Maria Elena , Meltzer Michele , Mensah George A , Merriman Tony R , Meyer Ana-Claire , Miglioli Valeria , Miller Matthew , Miller Ted R , Mitchell Philip B , Mock Charles , Mocumbi Ana Olga , Moffitt Terrie E , Mokdad Ali A , Monasta Lorenzo , Montico Marcella , Moradi-Lakeh Maziar , Moran Andrew , Morawska Lidia , Mori Rintaro , Murdoch Michele E , Mwaniki Michael K , Naidoo Kovin , Nair M Nathan , Naldi Luigi , Narayan K M Venkat , Nelson Paul K , Nelson Robert G , Nevitt Michael C , Newton Charles R , Nolte Sandra , Norman Paul , Norman Rosana , O'Donnell Martin , O'Hanlon Simon , Olives Casey , Omer Saad B , Ortblad Katrina , Osborne Richard , Ozgediz Doruk , Page Andrew , Pahari Bishnu , Pandian Jeyaraj Durai , Rivero Andrea Panozo , Patten Scott B , Pearce Neil , Padilla Rogelio Perez , Perez-Ruiz Fernando , Perico Norberto , Pesudovs Konrad , Phillips David , Phillips Michael R , Pierce Kelsey , Pion Sebastien , Polanczyk Guilherme V , Polinder Suzanne , Pope C Arden 3rd , Popova Svetlana , Porrini Esteban , Pourmalek Farshad , Prince Martin , Pullan Rachel L , Ramaiah Kapa D , Ranganathan Dharani , Razavi Homie , Regan Mathilda , Rehm Jurgen T , Rein David B , Remuzzi Guiseppe , Richardson Kathryn , Rivara Frederick P , Roberts Thomas , Robinson Carolyn , De Leon Felipe Rodriguez , Ronfani Luca , Room Robin , Rosenfeld Lisa C , Rushton Lesley , Sacco Ralph L , Saha Sukanta , Sampson Uchechukwu , Sanchez-Riera Lidia , Sanman Ella , Schwebel David C , Scott James Graham , Segui-Gomez Maria , Shahraz Saeid , Shepard Donald S , Shin Hwashin , Shivakoti Rupak , Singh David , Singh Gitanjali M , Singh Jasvinder A , Singleton Jessica , Sleet David A , Sliwa Karen , Smith Emma , Smith Jennifer L , Stapelberg Nicolas J C , Steer Andrew , Steiner Timothy , Stolk Wilma A , Stovner Lars Jacob , Sudfeld Christopher , Syed Sana , Tamburlini Giorgio , Tavakkoli Mohammad , Taylor Hugh R , Taylor Jennifer A , Taylor William J , Thomas Bernadette , Thomson W Murray , Thurston George D , Tleyjeh Imad M , Tonelli Marcello , Towbin Jeffrey A , Truelsen Thomas , Tsilimbaris Miltiadis K , Ubeda Clotilde , Undurraga Eduardo A , van der Werf Marieke J , van Os Jim , Vavilala Monica S , Venketasubramanian N , Wang Mengru , Wang Wenzhi , Watt Kerrianne , Weatherall David J , Weinstock Martin A , Weintraub Robert , Weisskopf Marc G , Weissman Myrna M , White Richard A , Whiteford Harvey , Wiebe Natasha , Wiersma Steven T , Wilkinson James D , Williams Hywel C , Williams Sean R M , Witt Emma , Wolfe Frederick , Woolf Anthony D , Wulf Sarah , Yeh Pon-Hsiu , Zaidi Anita K M , Zheng Zhi-Jie , Zonies David , Lopez Alan D , Global Burden of Disease Study 2010 . Lancet 2013 380 (9859) 2197-223 BACKGROUND: Measuring disease and injury burden in populations requires a composite metric that captures both premature mortality and the prevalence and severity of ill-health. The 1990 Global Burden of Disease study proposed disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) to measure disease burden. No comprehensive update of disease burden worldwide incorporating a systematic reassessment of disease and injury-specific epidemiology has been done since the 1990 study. We aimed to calculate disease burden worldwide and for 21 regions for 1990, 2005, and 2010 with methods to enable meaningful comparisons over time. METHODS: We calculated DALYs as the sum of years of life lost (YLLs) and years lived with disability (YLDs). DALYs were calculated for 291 causes, 20 age groups, both sexes, and for 187 countries, and aggregated to regional and global estimates of disease burden for three points in time with strictly comparable definitions and methods. YLLs were calculated from age-sex-country-time-specific estimates of mortality by cause, with death by standardised lost life expectancy at each age. YLDs were calculated as prevalence of 1160 disabling sequelae, by age, sex, and cause, and weighted by new disability weights for each health state. Neither YLLs nor YLDs were age-weighted or discounted. Uncertainty around cause-specific DALYs was calculated incorporating uncertainty in levels of all-cause mortality, cause-specific mortality, prevalence, and disability weights. FINDINGS: Global DALYs remained stable from 1990 (2.503 billion) to 2010 (2.490 billion). Crude DALYs per 1000 decreased by 23% (472 per 1000 to 361 per 1000). An important shift has occurred in DALY composition with the contribution of deaths and disability among children (younger than 5 years of age) declining from 41% of global DALYs in 1990 to 25% in 2010. YLLs typically account for about half of disease burden in more developed regions (high-income Asia Pacific, western Europe, high-income North America, and Australasia), rising to over 80% of DALYs in sub-Saharan Africa. In 1990, 47% of DALYs worldwide were from communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional disorders, 43% from non-communicable diseases, and 10% from injuries. By 2010, this had shifted to 35%, 54%, and 11%, respectively. Ischaemic heart disease was the leading cause of DALYs worldwide in 2010 (up from fourth rank in 1990, increasing by 29%), followed by lower respiratory infections (top rank in 1990; 44% decline in DALYs), stroke (fifth in 1990; 19% increase), diarrhoeal diseases (second in 1990; 51% decrease), and HIV/AIDS (33rd in 1990; 351% increase). Major depressive disorder increased from 15th to 11th rank (37% increase) and road injury from 12th to 10th rank (34% increase). Substantial heterogeneity exists in rankings of leading causes of disease burden among regions. INTERPRETATION: Global disease burden has continued to shift away from communicable to non-communicable diseases and from premature death to years lived with disability. In sub-Saharan Africa, however, many communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional disorders remain the dominant causes of disease burden. The rising burden from mental and behavioural disorders, musculoskeletal disorders, and diabetes will impose new challenges on health systems. Regional heterogeneity highlights the importance of understanding local burden of disease and setting goals and targets for the post-2015 agenda taking such patterns into account. Because of improved definitions, methods, and data, these results for 1990 and 2010 supersede all previously published Global Burden of Disease results. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. |
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